Oscars 2009: Predictions & Commentary
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Oscars 2008
[Commentary added after the 2009 Oscars]
I'm a longtime fan of watching the Oscars, but with all the other movie award ceremonies, they seem very anticlimactic. There are usually few surprises on Oscar night. Hugh Jackman should be a great host. I'm not sure the idea of grafting a narrative on the awards show is a good idea, but it may be an interesing experiment. [So far, I enjoy the way the narrative is being used - how to make a movie. And, much as I love Tina Fey, she's hardly made a movie either! The pacing was pretty good, except there were too many commercials over the second half. The show ran just about 3 1/2 hours.]
I saw a few more of the major movies this year because they weren't as violent as last year's (well, Slumdog Mllionaire wound up with a depressing amount of violence). My favorite two movies from last year were Milk and Rachel Getting Married. WALL-E was great fun. Tropic Thunder, Iron Man and Mamma Mia were terrific entertainments. I wound up missing Frost/Nixon and Doubt, mostly because those movies didn't play long in my area.
Generally, though, I found serious flaws in the "major contender" movies. Most of the problems were in the script, and I'll talk about them in the writing awards. I will note what I haven't seen and will go ahead with my predictions anyway. For the last few years, I've been hedging my bets with a "will win" (WW) & "should win" (SW) before the Oscars actually start!
Performance by an actor in a leading role
- Richard Jenkins in The Visitor (Overture Films)
- Frank Langella in Frost/Nixon (Universal)
- (WON, SW) Sean Penn in Milk (Focus Features)
- Brad Pitt in The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.)
- (WW) Mickey Rourke in The Wrestler (Fox Searchlight)
I know, I know Mickey Rourke has been the comeback kid this year. I despise wrestling and found even the trailer unwatchable. And Rourke is clearly playing a different kind of character than he did 25 years ago. Sean Penn gave such a magniciently spot-on performance in Milk - it was the best performance I saw in a movie from last year. I didn't get the chance to see The Visitor and will Netflix that soon. I've been a fan of Richard Jenkins since the first episode of Six Feet Under. I missed Frost/Nixon too, but Langella's performance didn't impress me in the trailers. Brad Pitt gave an intriguing performance in Benjamin Button, but I don't think that movie will get any major awards. [YAY for Sean!!!!!!!!!]
Performance by an actor in a supporting role
- Josh Brolin in Milk (Focus Features)
- (SW) Robert Downey Jr. in Tropic Thunder (DreamWorks, Distributed by DreamWorks/Paramount)
- Philip Seymour Hoffman in Doubt (Miramax)
- (WON, WW) Heath Ledger in The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.)
- Michael Shannon in Revolutionary Road (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage)
Yeah, I know Heath Ledger will win this Oscar. His performance was wild, but it was very overrated. Josh Brolin gave a very tight performance as Dan White in Milk. But Robert Downey, Jr. was the biggest surprise of last year. When you describe what he did, it sounds completely impossible that it worked as well as it did. I'd love to see Downey win, but I rather doubt he will. (And, no, I normally liked Heath Ledger's performances very much, particularly in Brokeback Mountain.)
Performance by an actress in a leading role
- Anne Hathaway in Rachel Getting Married (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Angelina Jolie in Changeling (Universal)
- Melissa Leo in Frozen River (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Meryl Streep in Doubt (Miramax)
- (WON, SW, WW) Kate Winslet in The Reader (The Weinstein Company)
Kate Winslet is so owed...she was great in The Reader. I also liked Anne Hathaway very much in the underrated Rachel Getting Married; she's an actress who gets better with every movie she's been in.
Performance by an actress in a supporting role
- (SW) Amy Adams in Doubt (Miramax)
- [WON] Penélope Cruz in Vicky Cristina Barcelona (The Weinstein Company)
- Viola Davis in Doubt (Miramax)
- Taraji P. Henson in The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.)
- (WW) Marisa Tomei in The Wrestler (Fox Searchlight)
I hate to say this but I didn't find the supporting actress category particularly memorable this year. I preferred Tilda Swinton's performance in Benjamin Button and she wasn't even nominated. While everyone is predicting Marisa Tomei, I have the feeling Amy Adams might sneak through. Or maybe Penélope Cruz for "best supporting actress in a Woody Allen movie..." [Which she won. I did like the bit that each nominee was told "we honor you." Lovely bit on "universality" in her speech. And I'm glad the orchestra didn't play her off after 45 seconds.]
Best animated feature film of the year
- Bolt (Walt Disney), Chris Williams and Byron Howard
- Kung Fu Panda (DreamWorks Animation, Distributed by Paramount), John Stevenson and Mark Osborne
- (WON, SW, WW) WALL-E (Walt Disney), Andrew Stanton
While the script for WALL-E was very pedestrian, the movie had such visual verve that it ought to win.
Achievement in art direction
- Changeling (Universal), Art Direction: James J. Murakami, Set Decoration: Gary Fettis
- (WON, SW) The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Art Direction: Donald Graham Burt, Set Decoration: Victor J. Zolfo
- (WW) The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), Art Direction: Nathan Crowley, Set Decoration: Peter Lando
- The Duchess (Paramount Vantage, Pathé and BBC Films), Art Direction: Michael Carlin, Set Decoration: Rebecca Alleway
- Revolutionary Road (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage), Art Direction: Kristi Zea, Set Decoration: Debra Schutt
While Benjamin Button had some serious script problems, it was a very handsomely produced movie and looked great. However, I get the feeling The Dark Knight could sweep the technical awards (not that it should, but it may). [I'm glad I was wrong about this one!!]
Achievement in cinematography
- Changeling (Universal), Tom Stern
- (SW) The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Claudio Miranda
- (WW) The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), Wally Pfister
- The Reader (The Weinstein Company), Chris Menges and Roger Deakins
- (WON) Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Anthony Dod Mantle
[The cinematography was certainly very good for Slumdog.]
Achievement in costume design
- Australia (20th Century Fox), Catherine Martin
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Jacqueline West
- (WON, SW, WW) The Duchess (Paramount Vantage, Pathé and BBC Films), Michael O’Connor
- Milk (Focus Features), Danny Glicker
- Revolutionary Road (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage), Albert Wolsky
They don't call it a costume drama for nothing! ;->
Achievement in directing
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), David Fincher
- Frost/Nixon (Universal), Ron Howard
- Milk (Focus Features), Gus Van Sant
- The Reader (The Weinstein Company), Stephen Daldry
- (WON, SW, WW) Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Danny Boyle
The direction of Slumdog Millionaire was audacious and inventive. Danny Boyle is the best director of children out there (compare Slumdog with Boyle's earlier movie Millions). That said, I probably enjoyed Milk better, because the casting was so perfect and Van Sant got great performances from his entire cast. Both Fincher and Daldry directed interesting movies with seriously flawed scripts.
Best documentary feature
- The Betrayal (Nerakhoon) (Cinema Guild), A Pandinlao Films Production, Ellen Kuras and Thavisouk Phrasavath
- Encounters at the End of the World (THINKFilm and Image Entertainment), A Creative Differences Production, Werner Herzog and Henry Kaiser
- The Garden A Black Valley Films Production, Scott Hamilton Kennedy
(WON, SW, WW) Man on Wire (Magnolia Pictures), A Wall to Wall in association with Red Box Films Production, James Marsh and Simon Chinn
- Trouble the Water (Zeitgeist Films), An Elsewhere Films Production, Tia Lessin and Carl Deal
I've heard nothing but enormous praise for Man on Wire. I love what the wire-walker said - "It's time to remember how beautiful the twin towers were." (Man on Wire was about a French man who clandestinely set up a wire between the two tallest World Trade Center Towers and walked across them in the mid-70s; it was an amazing stunt). There's always the chance that Trouble the Water, a documentary about people trying to rebuild after Katrina, could win.
Best documentary short subject
- The Conscience of Nhem En A Farallon Films Production, Steven Okazaki
- The Final Inch Vermilion Films in association with Google.org, Irene Taylor Brodsky and Tom Grant
- (WON, SW, WW)Smile Pinki A Principe Production, Megan Mylan
- The Witness - From the Balcony of Room 306 A Rock Paper Scissors Production, Adam Pertofsky and Margaret Hyde
Achievement in film editing
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
- The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), Lee Smith
- Frost/Nixon (Universal), Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
- Milk (Focus Features), Elliot Graham
- (WON, SW, WW)Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Chris Dickens
The Dark Knight had horrible editing and I'm shocked to see it in this category. I was looking at my watch after about a half hour. Every "action" scene went on about twice as long as it needed to. On the other hand, the editing worked very well to push Slumdog's frequently frenetic page. However, the editing for Milk and Benjamin Button perfectly fit the story. Benjamin Button is a rather slow, reflective piece, but I never felt bored while watching it. Milk had perfect pacing too. So, in many ways, this is a surprisingly competative category.
Best foreign language film of the year
- The Baader Meinhof Complex A Constantin Film Production, Germany
- (SW, WW) The Class (Sony Pictures Classics), A Haut et Court Production, France
- (WON)Departures (Regent Releasing), A Departures Film Partners Production, Japan
- Revanche (Janus Films), A Prisma Film/Fernseh Production, Austria
- Waltz with Bashir (Sony Pictures Classics), A Bridgit Folman Film Gang Production, Israel
It's probably between The Class and Waltz with Bashir, but I expect The Class will win. (I'm completely unfamiliar with the winner this time, but it sounds like an interesting movie. I had the same reaction when The Lives of Others won a few years back and really loved it when I finally saw it.)
Achievement in makeup
- (WON)The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Greg Cannom
- (SW, WW)The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), John Caglione, Jr. and Conor O’Sullivan
- Hellboy II: The Golden Army (Universal), Mike Elizalde and Thom Floutz
I'm very torn on this category. On the one hand, the CGI, prosthetics, and make-up in Benjamin Button was very believable. On the other hand, The Dark Knight's make-up, particularly on the injured Harvey Dent, was incredibly good. [Another case where I'm happy to be wrong about the winner.]
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Alexandre Desplat
- Defiance (Paramount Vantage), James Newton Howard
- Milk (Focus Features), Danny Elfman
- (WON, SW, WW) Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), A.R. Rahman
- WALL-E (Walt Disney), Thomas Newman
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)
- "Down to Earth" from WALL-E (Walt Disney), Music by Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman, Lyric by Peter Gabriel
- (WON, SW, WW) "Jai Ho" from Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Music by A.R. Rahman, Lyric by Gulzar
- "O Saya" from Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Music and Lyric by A.R. Rahman and Maya Arulpragasam
Best motion picture of the year
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), A Kennedy/Marshall Production, Kathleen Kennedy, Frank Marshall and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
- Frost/Nixon (Universal), A Universal Pictures, Imagine Entertainment and Working Title Production, Brian Grazer, Ron Howard and Eric Fellner, Producers
- (SW)Milk (Focus Features), A Groundswell and Jinks/Cohen Company Production, Dan Jinks and Bruce Cohen, Producers
- The Reader (The Weinstein Company), A Mirage Enterprises and Neunte Babelsberg Film GmbH Production, Anthony Minghella, Sydney Pollack, Donna Gigliotti and Redmond Morris, Producers
- (WON, WW) Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), A Celador Films Production, Christian Colson, Producer
No, I don't think Milk is going to win, but I thought it was the best movie I saw last year. My problem with Slumdog as a best picture was that it was so graphically awful in places. Maybe too honest? While The Reader had terrific performances, it also had a seriously dumb plot point. Benjamin Button was too much like Forrest Gump, and it was written by the same person!
Best animated short film
- (WON) "La Maison en Petits Cubes" A Robot Communications Production, Kunio Kato
- "Lavatory - Lovestory" A Melnitsa Animation Studio and CTB Film Company Production, Konstantin Bronzit
- "Oktapodi" (Talantis Films), A Gobelins, L’école de l’image Production, Emud Mokhberi and Thierry Marchand
- (SW, WW)"Presto" (Walt Disney), A Pixar Animation Studios Production, Doug Sweetland
- "This Way Up" A Nexus Production, Alan Smith and Adam Foulkes
Another one for Pixar...um, Walt Disney! [Well, I was wrong about that winner. When I saw the clips from the animated short subjects, I thought it would go to "Oktapodi"]
Best live action short film
- "Auf der Strecke (On the Line)" (Hamburg Shortfilmagency), An Academy of Media Arts Cologne Production, Reto Caffi
- "Manon on the Asphalt" (La Luna Productions), A La Luna Production, Elizabeth Marre and Olivier Pont
- "New Boy" (Network Ireland Television), A Zanzibar Films Production, Steph Green and Tamara Anghie
- "The Pig" An M & M Production, Tivi Magnusson and Dorte Høgh
- (WON) "Spielzeugland (Toyland)" A Mephisto Film Production, Jochen Alexander Freydank
Achievement in sound editing
- [WON]The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), Richard King
- Iron Man (Paramount and Marvel Entertainment), Frank Eulner and Christopher Boyes
- Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Glenn Freemantle and Tom Sayers
- (SW, WW)WALL-E (Walt Disney), Ben Burtt and Matthew Wood
- Wanted (Universal), Wylie Stateman
I thought the sound effects were too over-the-top in The Dark Knight but were just perfect in WALL-E.
Achievement in sound mixing
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Mark Weingarten
- The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo and Ed Novick
- (WON, SW, WW)Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Ian Tapp, Richard Pryke and Resul Pookutty
- WALL-E (Walt Disney), Tom Myers, Michael Semanick and Ben Burtt
- Wanted (Universal), Chris Jenkins, Frank A. Montaño and Petr Forejt
Achievement in visual effects
- [WON] The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Eric Barba, Steve Preeg, Burt Dalton and Craig Barron
- (SW, WW) The Dark Knight (Warner Bros.), Nick Davis, Chris Corbould, Tim Webber and Paul Franklin
- Iron Man (Paramount and Marvel Entertainment), John Nelson, Ben Snow, Dan Sudick and Shane Mahan
[Now that was a very pleasant surprise! Sometimes, the best special effects are not the over-the-top things that happened during The Dark Knight.]
Adapted screenplay
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Screenplay by Eric Roth, Screen story by Eric Roth and Robin Swicord
- Doubt (Miramax), Written by John Patrick Shanley
- Frost/Nixon (Universal), Screenplay by Peter Morgan
- The Reader (The Weinstein Company), Screenplay by David Hare
- (WON, SW, WW)Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), Screenplay by Simon Beaufoy
Slumdog was the best of this group, without a doubt.
Original screenplay
- Frozen River (Sony Pictures Classics), Written by Courtney Hunt
- Happy-Go-Lucky (Miramax), Written by Mike Leigh
- In Bruges (Focus Features), Written by Martin McDonagh
- (WON SW, WW)Milk (Focus Features), Written by Dustin Lance Black
- WALL-E (Walt Disney), Screenplay by Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Original story by Andrew Stanton, Pete Docter
Seeing WALL-E in this category also made me scratch my head because I thought the script was the weakest part of the film. People have loved In Bruges so that might sneak in. But I hope Milk wins. Smart writing should triumph once in a while.
[And they are giving out the screenplay awards first! Great! And the smart script won!!! Yes! Even if Dustin Lance Blank looks like he's about 16... FYI - the white ribbon is for marriage equity.]
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